NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4966dfd5f92cbdc42c3f957bef4f47bb6b2022a43d2f38e868727d3d499f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 99,076$49,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,497.17 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 49c | 40,930$20,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,055.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 51c | 40,385$20,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,888.72 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 50c | 38,500$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 50c | 27,939$13,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,969.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 13,108$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,786.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 7,829$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.78 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 6,911$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.43 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,355$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 4,346$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.62 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 50c | 3,496$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 50c | 3,232$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.83 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Under | 57c | 2,566$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.32 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 2,347$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.7 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 2,219$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 65c | 1,983$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.48 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 1,630$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 3c | 1,595$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.8 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Under | 70c | 1,535$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,532$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 57c | 1,434$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.79 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,176$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 822.85$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 61c | 760.94$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Under | 23c | 700$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 638$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Under | 32c | 620.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 52c | 580.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Under | 50c | 561.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 79c | 543$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 50c | 524.31$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…717cbacked Under | 50c | 414$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 50c | 403.84$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 58c | 360.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 51c | 339.17$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Under | 51c | 335.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Under | 49c | 332.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 307$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 302$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 48c | 281.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 68c | 272.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Over | 51c | 271.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 238.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…b96cbacked Over | 52c | 234.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 228.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 54c | 217.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…fddcbacked Under | 59c | 215.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 33c | 199.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 47c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 71c | 186.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 162.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Over | 50c | 149.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 144.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…0e4cbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Under | 70c | 123.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Under | 65c | 112.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Under | 52c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 48c | 101.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Under | 49c | 97.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Under | 64c | 80.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 75.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 37c | 74.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed Over | 54c | 74.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 71.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Over | 73c | 70.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 32c | 66.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…13b3backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 57.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 52c | 51.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksDucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.