NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53670b5f48a3f5319353cd12648d570d0134a67a9e84b45b288878513252b210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Kraken, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 27c | 226,061$61,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,414.13 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Hurricanes | 73c | 148,148$108,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes | 66c | 104,286$68,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,643.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes | 73c | 68,469$49,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,523.87 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 29c | 60,851$17,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,883.07 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken | 34c | 41,811$14,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,028.56 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hurricanes | 72c | 36,112$26,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.36 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Kraken | 35c | 20,732$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes | 72c | 19,413$13,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.64 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Hurricanes | 72c | 10,853$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 27c | 9,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kraken | 32c | 8,067$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.27 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Kraken | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 7,777$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.56 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ff…2390backed Hurricanes | 72c | 7,262$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Kraken | 31c | 5,727$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken | 35c | 5,371$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.92 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 35c | 5,204$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.57 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kraken | 35c | 5,172$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.2 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kraken | 35c | 4,795$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.09 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 3,689$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes | 71c | 3,187$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.15 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 29c | 3,174$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.8 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 28c | 3,114$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.97 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 28c | 3,066$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.45 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken | 10c | 3,065$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kraken | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 53c | 2,917$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 28c | 2,800$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Kraken | 73c | 2,731$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 31c | 2,389$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.31 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,297$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 59c | 2,045$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.28 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…c5dbbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 1,985$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Hurricanes | 72c | 1,953$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.75 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 30c | 1,945$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Hurricanes | 73c | 1,785$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,624$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.61 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hurricanes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes | 72c | 1,377$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.53 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 1,198$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Hurricanes | 73c | 1,179$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,011$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Hurricanes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 53c | 906.44$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Hurricanes | 73c | 902.74$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 837.88$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Hurricanes | 69c | 837.2$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…77abbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 787.48$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes | 70c | 749.97$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Kraken | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 659.94$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken | 2c | 655$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Kraken | 24c | 634.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 72c | 627.68$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Hurricanes | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 72c | 616.53$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Kraken | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 597.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kraken | 35c | 580$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Hurricanes | 72c | 571.43$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 29c | 555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Kraken | 30c | 546.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kraken | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91debacked Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 14c | 490.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kraken | 34c | 470.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hurricanes | 59c | 460.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Kraken | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Hurricanes | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Kraken | 31c | 425.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Kraken | 23c | 411.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes | 75c | 395.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Kraken | 31c | 383.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kraken | 31c | 383$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 379.49$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Hurricanes | 72c | 361.12$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…7acebacked Hurricanes | 72c | 361.12$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Kraken | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Kraken | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…d32cbacked Kraken | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Hurricanes | 66c | 341.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…cb61backed Hurricanes | 73c | 330.25$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hurricanes | 63c | 323.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hurricanes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hurricanes | 74c | 303.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Hurricanesthis page
- Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.