NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f19f7ced5ae8c3f7e926c08b92f09da0ab1148a5983cb25a0e63a0b2d975c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Hurricanes, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Hurricanes | 53c | 40,807$21,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,696.69 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kraken | 46c | 22,726$10,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,272.08 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kraken | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 50c | 6,680$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kraken | 49c | 4,540$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.03 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 51c | 3,973$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.45 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Kraken | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,669$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.08 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes | 51c | 2,490$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.96 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,327$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Hurricanes | 50c | 882$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 54c | 873.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 50c | 622$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kraken | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 48c | 492$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hurricanes | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kraken | 47c | 344$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Kraken | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 42c | 266$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kraken | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kraken | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hurricanes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken | 50c | 181.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kraken | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kraken | 50c | 99.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 49c | 90.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…2795backed Hurricanes | 52c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kraken | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kraken | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kraken | 47c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kraken | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Kraken | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Kraken | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Kraken | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 24.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Hurricanes | 46c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Kraken vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.