NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfa09f2fb3e5b19fc92930201b1289556fd1c1ae9bd5bee33f3f5212003afb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Flames, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 42c | 205,757$86,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,451.9 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Oilers | 58c | 128,733$74,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,067.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Oilers | 57c | 76,358$43,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,723.33 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Oilers | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 38c | 33,343$12,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,670.39 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 41c | 14,118$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flames | 40c | 12,044$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.66 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 12,000$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Flames | 41c | 11,728$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.44 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Oilers | 58c | 11,484$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.23 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oilers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 43c | 9,857$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.25 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 42c | 6,995$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 60c | 6,530$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.9 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Flames | 9c | 6,200$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oilers | 72c | 6,149$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.17 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flames | 40c | 5,882$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.8 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flames | 43c | 5,015$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.53 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Oilers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Flames | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 42c | 4,350$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.81 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Flames | 0c | 4,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 47c | 4,214$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Flames | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,885$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.74 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Flames | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Oilers | 60c | 3,319$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.47 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 0c | 3,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 70c | 3,299$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 27c | 2,814$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.85 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Flames | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…a946backed Oilers | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 41c | 2,274$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.31 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Oilers | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flames | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Flames | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,798$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 57c | 1,767$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flames | 13c | 1,726$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 38c | 1,640$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.16 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Flames | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Oilers | 58c | 1,466$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.84 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Oilers | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Oilers | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,288$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Flames | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 10c | 1,203$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flames | 29c | 1,140$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 40c | 1,105$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.12 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flames | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.14 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 15c | 980$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 42c | 973.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Oilers | 63c | 948.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Oilers | 59c | 879.66$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cef…fe74backed Oilers | 61c | 831$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…8975backed Flames | 39c | 831$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…e20cbacked Oilers | 61c | 822$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…1f41backed Flames | 39c | 822$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…53b6backed Oilers | 61c | 813$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…515ebacked Flames | 39c | 813$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…4a82backed Flames | 39c | 813$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…5337backed Oilers | 61c | 813$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…94febacked Flames | 39c | 806$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…29d0backed Flames | 39c | 806$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…c2d6backed Oilers | 61c | 806$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…1ad6backed Oilers | 61c | 806$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…e8bdbacked Flames | 39c | 803$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…c563backed Oilers | 61c | 803$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 50c | 779$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…84a0backed Oilers | 61c | 762$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…d587backed Oilers | 61c | 762$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…da3fbacked Flames | 39c | 762$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…97b7backed Flames | 39c | 762$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…4c04backed Flames | 39c | 762$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436e…d1d1backed Oilers | 61c | 762$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 71c | 755.17$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…3944backed Oilers | 61c | 744$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…cddcbacked Flames | 39c | 744$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…9434backed Oilers | 61c | 744$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…9d30backed Flames | 39c | 744$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…8f6bbacked Flames | 39c | 743$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…7fbcbacked Oilers | 61c | 743$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…3601backed Flames | 39c | 742$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…5667backed Oilers | 61c | 742$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…a920backed Oilers | 61c | 741$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Oilersthis page
- Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.