NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbabc9feab24f8ddff49580a645f96df13d48f6b60ae7d52b867aad0ed6b10c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 53c | 44,914$23,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,738.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 50c | 23,332$11,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,666.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 16,795$8,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,901.35 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 47c | 15,655$7,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296.94 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 12,403$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,582.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 7,625$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Under | 50c | 7,140$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 6,806$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.73 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Under | 50c | 5,460$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.14 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 5,026$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.31 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,191$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 4,062$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 3,504$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.25 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Under | 50c | 2,645$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 47c | 1,543$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.68 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Under | 50c | 969.04$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 920$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 46c | 684.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 46c | 538.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 529.9$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 376$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 372.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 51c | 348.89$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 50c | 278.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 47c | 259.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed Under | 50c | 244.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 48c | 240$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…66d8backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 193.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 47c | 187.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 47c | 140.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 50c | 131.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…bf69backed Over | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 54c | 87.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 50c | 69.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 45c | 66.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Over | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 54c | 43.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…4db7backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…e16bbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. OilersOilers won
- Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.