TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over45c25,032$11,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,764.574942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x570f…58c6backed Under0c20,070$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.883557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c19,082$11,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,309.854,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Over40c12,579$5,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,547.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c11,170$6,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,694.751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under55c9,571$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2641735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over38c5,866$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.7664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c4,187$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.5969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over38c4,146$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.519748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Over39c3,849$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under55c3,502$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.310245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c1,334$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.022,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7911037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under59c1,259$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over66c1,144$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.353948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over52c941.66$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.752751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c891.11$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.1610441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over40c861.93$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under60c814$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.48457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over38c762.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over38c728$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.362556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under55c679$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4523250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa32c…5608backed Over42c523.34$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under55c510.35$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.695050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under62c415.78$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.788433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2b…4c50backed Under42c313$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.672653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e20…b6b5backed Under59c305.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c292.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.361,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over42c273.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.533850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over42c249.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9824546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c246$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.681,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.16861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c224$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Under59c218.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over40c202.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.28751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over38c198$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7633544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over38c184.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c178.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.693,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb343…972fbacked Under59c170.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under62c161.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.978446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under63c155.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under61c150.56$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.565152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.57236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under61c128.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.212138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over44c122.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.587251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under55c111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0521626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over59c106.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.771968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcec…13cabacked Under62c102.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over39c101$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.613040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5911741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under62c93.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under56c88.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.458543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over42c85.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.473351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2db…be15backed Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6222638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under45c76.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.46136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c73.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.961,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under40c66.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5616342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.635343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under55c50.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.574946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…6deebacked Under68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over70c43.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.111741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.487749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Under39c40.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6810155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under63c37.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.613648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under57c36.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5620452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over60c34.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1511855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over39c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.522065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2127850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56636.4%24 W · 42 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Under57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.