La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3141e8cc31a0e7ea2eca3e1a50f00cdc823309bd4c9e849b8d32060b98e481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.82 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 38c | 915.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 55c | 899.86$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 52c | 884.92$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.58 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 596$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 50c | 444$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.22 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 331.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 299$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 61c | 218.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 208.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 202.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed No | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 166.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 157.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 56c | 135.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 113.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 48c | 110.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…23a3backed No | 51c | 84.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed Yes | 50c | 72.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 55c | 64.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 54c | 55.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 65c | 21.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.