Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f3d59c801c20cd33cef60d297b43e31fc4717cf4227f0295410939e288a0a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,343,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,451,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,343,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 799 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 142,628$89,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,156.97 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 119,208$28,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,943.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 37c | 43,751$16,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,188 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 35c | 43,556$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 37,874$14,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,109.77 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 63c | 33,109$20,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,358.31 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 77c | 30,182$23,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,983.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 27,520$9,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,907.02 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 27,000$16,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,056.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed No | 0c | 25,420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 23,360$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 23,147$8,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,612 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 65c | 21,452$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.22 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 38c | 21,103$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.97 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 20,434$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 20,282$7,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,660.67 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 19,722$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.54 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 9c | 19,198$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.24 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 37c | 17,025$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,339.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 14,610$9,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.32 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 41c | 13,394$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.8 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 13,196$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.7 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 35c | 12,596$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.75 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 12,533$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.07 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 7c | 10,704$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.71 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 32c | 10,517$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.48 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…1e80backed Yes | 70c | 10,157$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 10,148$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Yes | 64c | 10,105$6,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 38c | 10,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 36c | 9,681$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.16 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 37c | 9,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.89 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 37c | 9,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.88 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 14c | 8,049$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.53 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 63c | 7,990$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 64c | 7,301$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 20c | 6,288$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.09 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 37c | 5,666$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.04 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.97 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes | 64c | 4,870$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…5d84backed Yes | 63c | 4,605$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…341bbacked Yes | 75c | 4,479$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 36c | 4,471$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.25 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 23c | 3,937$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.49 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 3,770$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.89 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 37c | 3,600$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 3,293$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…46dbbacked No | 78c | 3,186$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 3,100$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.97 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 17c | 2,767$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.32 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 38c | 2,720$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.6 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 23c | 2,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 36c | 2,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.98 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 62c | 2,482$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 80c | 2,433$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.63 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 1c | 2,427$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 37c | 2,400$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.97 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…dbfebacked Yes | 63c | 2,385$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 38c | 2,368$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 2,239$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.52 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 19c | 2,231$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.58 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 36c | 2,169$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.84 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 37c | 2,135$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 2,108$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 38c | 2,070$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 26c | 2,040$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.77 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 37c | 2,003$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked No | 10c | 2,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,919$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.42 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 36c | 1,910$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.79 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 62c | 1,810$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 1,785$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 63c | 1,759$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.43 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 37c | 1,735$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.95 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 32c | 1,717$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 20c | 1,669$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 37c | 1,600$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.