Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2cd0ebebf470e47cb560debba15e6c3a98f29d3a18a87f7d4dc89f9ffd27002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 22,516$17,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 15,361$12,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,384$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 22c | 10,295$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 8,953$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 8,119$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.79 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 79c | 7,955$6,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 80c | 6,430$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 4,556$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 74c | 4,052$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…3635backed Yes | 7c | 3,986$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 22c | 3,400$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 3,142$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.22 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 2,588$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.61 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 21c | 2,143$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…92e7backed Yes | 21c | 2,054$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.43 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…4eb0backed Yes | 14c | 1,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 43c | 1,152$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…bd69backed Yes | 73c | 1,151$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…bb3abacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 963.62$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.66 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 65c | 940$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 73c | 821.75$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.05 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5aa5backed Yes | 73c | 669.41$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 611.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 5c | 610$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 607.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 602.95$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 598.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 594.24$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…41bebacked Yes | 8c | 546.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 73c | 540.49$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 54c | 504.21$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 79c | 499.16$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…7958backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 451.21$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…be9cbacked Yes | 15c | 450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 25c | 448.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 429$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 428$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 15c | 369.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…d3eebacked Yes | 7c | 356.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 15c | 333.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 73c | 322.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.23 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 32c | 313.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 21c | 299.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 16c | 279.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…c96ebacked Yes | 11c | 259$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 8c | 255.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…6fc4backed Yes | 11c | 233.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes | 11c | 228.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 74c | 202.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 79c | 201$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked No | 79c | 199.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 28c | 195.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Yes | 74c | 190$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 180.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…8df9backed Yes | 14c | 160.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 143$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 78c | 134.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…d6babacked Yes | 22c | 125.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…05aebacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 15c | 122.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…ef1abacked No | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…c0e3backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…0862backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 79c | 117.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 79c | 106.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 104.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.