NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9283a6d7ae41df248592717a3b7668ecf7ff7b011768b732a1b9f6fc1b962e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Penguins, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $902,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $909,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 52c | 113,744$59,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,146.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Islanders | 48c | 104,126$49,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,145.69 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Islanders | 48c | 100,026$47,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,062.03 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Penguins | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 52c | 83,068$43,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,503.93 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 50c | 57,798$28,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,169.17 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 49c | 51,420$25,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,306.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Islanders | 40c | 34,874$13,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,892.88 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 52c | 32,728$17,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,710.53 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2aabbacked Islanders | 52c | 30,600$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,790 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…fb64backed Penguins | 48c | 30,600$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 52c | 26,574$13,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,810.24 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 52c | 26,302$13,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,692.58 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 49c | 22,912$11,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,690.62 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 51c | 21,023$10,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,739.84 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 49c | 18,925$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,634.04 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 47c | 17,276$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,156.34 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Penguins | 52c | 15,160$7,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 50c | 14,556$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 48c | 13,803$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.01 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 48c | 11,036$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.47 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 47c | 10,625$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.83 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Islanders | 54c | 10,000$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 50c | 8,836$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 52c | 7,702$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.2 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Islanders | 47c | 6,956$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Islanders | 52c | 5,850$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Penguins | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 51c | 5,081$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.58 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Penguins | 48c | 5,067$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.37 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Islanders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,887$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.23 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,641$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Islanders | 47c | 3,447$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.81 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Islanders | 50c | 3,443$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.63 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 67c | 3,386$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 70c | 3,356$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.71 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Islanders | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 52c | 3,248$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Islanders | 42c | 3,209$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 49c | 3,192$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.61 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Islanders | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.17 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Islanders | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 71c | 2,899$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed Islanders | 47c | 2,709$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 23c | 2,464$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Islanders | 27c | 2,334$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.11 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 41c | 2,284$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.62 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 59c | 2,165$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.28 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…88c2backed Penguins | 51c | 2,005$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3983backed Islanders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 68c | 1,975$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.79 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Penguins | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…24fdbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,931$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…22e8backed Islanders | 49c | 1,931$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Islanders | 50c | 1,871$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…ad9cbacked Penguins | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…5d6abacked Islanders | 52c | 1,829$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 47c | 1,741$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,729$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 65c | 1,696$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 53c | 1,560$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.74 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Penguins | 53c | 1,523$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Islanders | 51c | 1,400$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Penguins | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 68c | 1,350$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.31 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Penguins | 6c | 1,288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Penguins | 34c | 1,257$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.84 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 69c | 1,248$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Penguins | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Islanders | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 52c | 990.38$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Penguins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…ffbebacked Penguins | 53c | 979.96$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Islanders | 49c | 953$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Islanders | 51c | 949.67$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 68c | 927.33$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.54 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…187fbacked Islanders | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 71c | 871.51$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.45 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…6cb7backed Islanders | 48c | 820$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Islandersthis page
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.