NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0920accf7057b68bf8895c29f13af4295a6d9d0d70e0ea742c3a2aef6e0d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 433,279$220,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,387.87 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 346,418$169,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,744.72 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 100,306$51,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,152.92 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 20,477$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,443.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 17,995$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,177.35 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 49c | 15,279$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.14 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 6,495$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.77 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 50c | 5,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 3,491$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.41 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 2,679$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.27 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 45c | 2,261$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.63 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,956$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 52c | 1,884$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…d720backed Over | 66c | 1,560$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 1,413$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.76 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,333$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,192$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,129$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 948.63$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 61c | 823.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 679$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.23 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 674.27$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 575.74$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 562.89$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 48c | 544.3$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 48c | 531.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 10c | 518.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 514.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 49c | 504.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 401$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 51c | 384.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 212.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 212.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 159.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 69c | 125.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 100.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Over | 50c | 99.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 89.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Under | 51c | 76.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 47c | 53.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18f…ea66backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Under | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…0591backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Under | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…24c0backed Over | 51c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 49c | 24.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 52c | 20.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Penguins vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.