NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7292660d2b3c32d3ae8b24aad26fb0d349cfe7cb3fac95ee983d1e7d1a2c9ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Predators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Predators | 37c | 70,120$25,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,888.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Predators | 17c | 35,720$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,131.26 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 28,700$22,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.66 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 38c | 16,781$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,295.54 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Predators | 38c | 16,743$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.34 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Predators | 35c | 13,064$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.3 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 12,221$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Predators | 14c | 11,082$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 10,744$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 6,976$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 6,067$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.94 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 6,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 5,010$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Predators | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Predators | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Predators | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Predators | 16c | 4,855$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.46 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Predators | 24c | 4,851$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.47 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 4,112$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.54 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Predators | 2c | 4,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Predators | 13c | 3,773$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Predators | 35c | 3,455$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.13 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Predators | 6c | 3,418$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.05 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Predators | 1c | 3,261$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 39c | 3,111$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.17 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,973$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.95 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Predators | 35c | 2,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 2,851$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.2 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,700$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 23c | 2,635$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Predators | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked Predators | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,114$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.87 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Predators | 11c | 1,841$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,798$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Predators | 36c | 1,769$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Predators | 36c | 1,573$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,573$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,570$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Predators | 37c | 1,521$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,518$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.69 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Predators | 39c | 1,333$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,267$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 5c | 1,221$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Predators | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Predators | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.22 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Predators | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…1fafbacked Predators | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed Predators | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…bcb6backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 994.83$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 850$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…96dbbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Predators | 35c | 775.03$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Predators | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Predators | 38c | 749.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 696.71$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Predators | 24c | 620$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Predators | 20c | 592.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 531.9$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Predators | 17c | 527.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…7afbbacked Predators | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Predators | 16c | 509.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 506.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Predators | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Predators | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Predators | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 499$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 484.45$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Predators | 38c | 475.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 442$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators | 26c | 419.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Predators | 25c | 343$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 326.67$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Predators | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Predators | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Predators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.