TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Over45c15,099$6,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,794.722138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c12,581$7,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,568.6769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under55c11,394$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.539748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c10,821$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.7824145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c10,074$7,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.584,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c9,065$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.9990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over24c4,121$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under57c3,118$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Over46c3,109$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1254245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c2,499$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c1,790$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.722,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over46c1,350$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c1,313$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over13c1,250$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.498433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c1,200$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under63c1,140$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over19c1,028$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over10c999.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under75c938.11$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.471,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over46c695.65$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over24c421.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c408.67$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.381,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under78c401.48$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under63c321.81$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.982552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over18c297.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b1…1539backed Under55c220$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2b…4c50backed Over14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over32c184.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c170.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.918732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under79c137$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.257852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over16c135.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over31c131.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under77c129.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over46c123.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over46c121.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under55c84.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.071384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c82.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over44c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.642065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.27749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under78c57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb6a…0665backed Under79c51.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick43cpaid+126.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6506…a04bbacked Under78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Under78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over23c51.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0317648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over32c50.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2143255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c46.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f99…e345backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over45c41.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over32c41.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.286752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over42c35.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8faf…2575backed Over44c31.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7931…020abacked Under57c30.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over47c30.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c29.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3712042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4113249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a2…4464backed Over45c26.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1910039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…b0ecbacked Under57c24.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b56…804abacked Under56c24.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.435836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under70c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1727850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…42bbbacked Under57c20.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Under71c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.442236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f19…99a7backed Under56c18.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under69c17.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under77c17.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under80c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.432763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under75c16.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9811354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under78c15.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3328446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.