Us Midterms · resolved market
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa10a024abea463ee5e51f073ce901af6aff1de11b43959fafdbfff8074a621e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 32,469$20,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.14 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 7c | 14,706$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 16c | 13,665$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 0c | 11,607$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 57c | 7,821$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 23c | 7,107$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 24c | 5,192$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 68c | 3,597$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…df72backed No | 29c | 3,189$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 0c | 2,888$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…957dbacked No | 28c | 2,785$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 31c | 2,247$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked No | 31c | 2,245$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 66c | 2,030$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 56c | 1,843$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,834$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.22 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,814$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 26c | 1,723$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 79c | 1,543$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed No | 21c | 1,519$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 74c | 1,488$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked No | 28c | 1,482$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…8fc4backed Yes | 75c | 1,384$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…6bb1backed No | 34c | 1,188$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,158$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 8c | 1,086$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 22c | 1,076$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…e86dbacked No | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…cf76backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed No | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 999.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…572bbacked No | 31c | 980.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 77c | 816.16$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 14c | 798.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed No | 26c | 781.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 25c | 771.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…cab6backed Yes | 79c | 752.37$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…2a24backed No | 27c | 666.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked No | 24c | 663.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…dbfdbacked No | 10c | 624.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…f700backed Yes | 74c | 623.27$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 61c | 607.85$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.67 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 15c | 606.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d157backed No | 16c | 599.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 47c | 586.18$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked No | 4c | 538.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…00babacked No | 28c | 537.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…d135backed No | 32c | 527.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf818…6bc0backed No | 52c | 504.41$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…29a4backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…c586backed Yes | 64c | 460$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed Yes | 55c | 436.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…53b3backed Yes | 37c | 424.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…1f56backed No | 56c | 417.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes | 72c | 414.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 57c | 403.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 45c | 399.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…e4b5backed Yes | 51c | 394.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 26c | 381.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…6fe9backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…ef9fbacked Yes | 41c | 350$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…c984backed Yes | 68c | 340.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 35c | 333$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…1451backed Yes | 75c | 323.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4482…7082backed Yes | 62c | 323.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…a146backed Yes | 77c | 323.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…2e2fbacked Yes | 45c | 317.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed No | 33c | 315$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 65c | 308.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed Yes | 77c | 305$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 5c | 304.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 33c | 304.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 60c | 299.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…b4e0backed No | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…1f98backed No | 35c | 282.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…add2backed Yes | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 71c | 278.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 70c | 266.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 265.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 73c | 262.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed No | 27c | 253.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 242.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…37c5backed No | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…8f93backed No | 14c | 237$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 72c | 234.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 28c | 232$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 14c | 226.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…173cbacked Yes | 44c | 225.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…6dd7backed No | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…5e41backed No | 33c | 220.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?this page
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 21–24%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.