TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x027c…60f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT6640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$56.16
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$543
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+458%+$458.01
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+272.1%+$168.72
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.35
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$24.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+32%+$57.68
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$284.94
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$71.32
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?backed House · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$115.53
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$561
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.61
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$170.76
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.05
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.99
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.56
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.29
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.53
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.8%+$9.96
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+253.7%+$760.21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.5%+$117.83
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,144.6%+$457.85
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+270%+$269.96
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$56.46
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$21.73
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+412.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+412.8%+$82.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+257.1%+$257.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.