Earnings · resolved market
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95575291f352e5a5e57830bf97ba06a469da2f52d5270eaded238cd3cdcd889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Yes | 62c | 3,870$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…7cdcbacked No | 38c | 3,870$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 80c | 3,465$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,292$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.42 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,026$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.77 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 40c | 791.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 52c | 743.27$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.75 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9edabacked No | 75c | 497.32$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…0d74backed No | 60c | 444.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 18c | 414.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…ea37backed No | 55c | 401.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 40c | 355.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7323…d0fcbacked Yes | 42c | 311.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 35c | 263.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 51c | 262$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 11c | 255.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 184.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked Yes | 9c | 180.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 42c | 141.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 69c | 131.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 26c | 126$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 32cpaid | +681.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed No | 64c | 123.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 28c | 110.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f5f1backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 98.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 45c | 98.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 90.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 54c | 89.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…6c5abacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 62c | 77.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…061bbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 64.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…4986backed No | 57c | 49.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 61c | 49.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 50c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 49c | 44.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 57c | 36.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed No | 46c | 33.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked Yes | 32c | 32.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 40c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…3bedbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…f3bcbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 19.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.