Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d52f57a11b6d87d7d2d3ad9b457055e442e3716b560284b316939b349fc488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 28,396$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 1c | 22,232$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 1c | 20,868$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 16,705$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 0c | 16,256$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 13,788$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 1c | 12,747$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…c6e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…c2fcbacked Yes | 3c | 9,877$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,898$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…09ecbacked Yes | 5c | 7,875$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 1c | 7,535$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 7c | 7,379$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed Yes | 2c | 7,330$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,079$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…c122backed Yes | 3c | 6,782$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…62cabacked Yes | 0c | 6,456$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…9ac6backed Yes | 2c | 6,191$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…c54abacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,925$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…2b13backed Yes | 0c | 4,923$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 0c | 4,843$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…78fcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,687$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,463$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Yes | 3c | 4,462$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,329$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 2c | 4,215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,178$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed Yes | 5c | 4,025$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a3a4backed Yes | 2c | 4,011$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 6c | 3,937$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…adc4backed Yes | 3c | 3,849$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…3714backed Yes | 1c | 3,838$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 2c | 3,816$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,813$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 1c | 3,659$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 2c | 3,486$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…7756backed Yes | 6c | 3,349$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Yes | 1c | 3,246$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,213$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 3c | 3,165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…b0ffbacked Yes | 2c | 3,052$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…ee69backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…abb9backed Yes | 10c | 2,953$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,939$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…ce0abacked Yes | 1c | 2,918$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…1e9dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,755$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…1b3fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,750$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…22a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,695$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…624dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,621$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…4642backed Yes | 1c | 2,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…d4f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,521$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…dd55backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…e72bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…07f1backed Yes | 5c | 2,398$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 1c | 2,307$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,263$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 4c | 2,223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5253backed Yes | 0c | 2,160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…33efbacked Yes | 2c | 2,045$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…30fcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…0534backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,994$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,900$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…198cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,688$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,675$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,674$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed Yes | 1c | 1,662$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 6c | 1,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 1c | 1,631$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 4c | 1,538$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…59f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,532$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…2e19backed Yes | 2c | 1,511$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 1,502$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…a91cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,481$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,477$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…338bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,468$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 11c | 1,425$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852c…2453backed Yes | 2c | 1,406$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…4674backed Yes | 3c | 1,389$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,359$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7058backed Yes | 16c | 1,330$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 3c | 1,309$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…57e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,293$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,291$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…cf74backed Yes | 1c | 1,259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,245$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 16c | 1,213$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 8c | 1,194$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…2788backed Yes | 1c | 1,172$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…53d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,093$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc340…0f9abacked Yes | 4c | 1,047$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.