Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb4eb4d4619272869e329ff787bd9fcbf759ff5552409b742f5443ad959c73cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $952,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 0c | 54,584$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…7c99backed Yes | 11c | 44,200$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,890$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 15,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed Yes | 0c | 11,440$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,201$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 0c | 11,080$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…d909backed Yes | 1c | 10,705$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,630$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…fd8cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,615$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…62cabacked Yes | 0c | 10,147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 2c | 8,559$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,321$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…99c5backed Yes | 0c | 8,249$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked Yes | 0c | 7,499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…22a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,807$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 2c | 5,787$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa470…f6bdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,764$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 1c | 5,455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,385$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…2e90backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 4,820$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…1e9dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,485$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 0c | 4,160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 3c | 4,022$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…be8dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,891$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 3,823$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…97aabacked Yes | 0c | 3,686$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…b564backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…2e19backed Yes | 1c | 3,357$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 6c | 3,351$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 3c | 2,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 2,705$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…147bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,569$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…0a58backed Yes | 0c | 2,504$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 1c | 2,363$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…d168backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6010…aa9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,920$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 3c | 1,831$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,828$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…c112backed Yes | 3c | 1,827$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…ec0cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,577$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…53d5backed Yes | 1c | 1,492$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f5…a5ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,489$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 8c | 1,448$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06e…f7c2backed Yes | 23c | 1,349$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 1,222$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…ba77backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 13c | 1,120$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 6c | 1,044$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 1,011$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…6878backed Yes | 1c | 974.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…fc76backed Yes | 10c | 962.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…a067backed Yes | 3c | 893.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…6b7ebacked Yes | 2c | 885.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Yes | 2c | 876.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc3…3e38backed Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 825.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…1efebacked Yes | 2c | 766$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Yes | 3c | 744.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 14c | 738.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 2c | 721.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…94d2backed Yes | 3c | 693.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 665.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 646.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…73edbacked Yes | 6c | 515.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8301…2c0bbacked Yes | 5c | 468$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…0454backed Yes | 6c | 439.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…b249backed Yes | 3c | 427$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…1ec7backed Yes | 3c | 416$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f8…d49dbacked Yes | 2c | 402$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…f78cbacked Yes | 5c | 395.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…8edabacked Yes | 4c | 384$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 362.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…24f4backed Yes | 6c | 339.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…2f14backed Yes | 9c | 305$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…0bccbacked Yes | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…06d8backed Yes | 5c | 293$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc3…0a59backed Yes | 9c | 287$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…34fdbacked Yes | 6c | 268$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes | 10c | 259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 9c | 242$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…04f8backed Yes | 5c | 235$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3403…00ecbacked Yes | 6c | 231$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…2728backed Yes | 9c | 222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…7130backed Yes | 9c | 218$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…6d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 213$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…e6e6backed Yes | 9c | 203$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?this page
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
- Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.