AI · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba88b6515079171739698b67a1186c0e0728583eb76c4b9216fff959806d355b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $899,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $942,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 4c | 50,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…2609backed Yes | 64c | 43,978$28,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,771.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…f73dbacked No | 55c | 30,010$16,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,573.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 19c | 21,816$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.2 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 20c | 20,137$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.96 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 79c | 18,617$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 26c | 15,500$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 47c | 13,541$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,156.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 20c | 13,196$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.65 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 11c | 11,999$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 25c | 11,870$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e6e6backed Yes | 72c | 11,764$8,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed No | 26c | 11,599$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…973abacked No | 38c | 10,764$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 13c | 9,126$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…776ebacked No | 11c | 8,968$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…a435backed No | 33c | 7,514$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked Yes | 68c | 7,319$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…8064backed No | 33c | 5,974$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…ae61backed Yes | 62c | 5,839$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…269bbacked No | 35c | 5,802$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…0259backed No | 17c | 5,674$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…d2a8backed No | 55c | 5,571$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 72c | 5,430$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 65c | 5,357$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.48 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…ff6bbacked No | 9c | 5,264$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 78c | 5,131$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…8783backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…c561backed No | 33c | 4,646$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…68cbbacked No | 26c | 4,315$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed No | 40c | 4,250$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…9fc9backed No | 38c | 4,173$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 21c | 4,069$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.19 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 26c | 4,046$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.24 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Yes | 46c | 3,918$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 67c | 3,823$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.63 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 27c | 3,710$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed No | 22c | 3,297$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…0d9dbacked No | 33c | 3,150$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed No | 15c | 3,079$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 17c | 2,987$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.97 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,967$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.92 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 32c | 2,931$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.78 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 11c | 2,897$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…3234backed No | 26c | 2,894$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…05d7backed No | 36c | 2,774$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 59c | 2,695$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.85 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…a31ebacked No | 28c | 2,675$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed No | 27c | 2,573$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 74c | 2,549$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 72c | 2,532$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…e043backed No | 31c | 2,510$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 32c | 2,501$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed No | 15c | 2,441$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…7313backed No | 32c | 2,383$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 25c | 2,358$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.45 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed No | 31c | 2,337$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 18c | 2,200$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…1af9backed No | 19c | 2,195$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…1dd5backed No | 16c | 2,171$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…5b80backed No | 32c | 2,150$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83eb…e5bdbacked Yes | 72c | 2,076$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 70c | 2,073$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.23 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…3497backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…7cd5backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 19c | 1,867$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…5fc0backed Yes | 60c | 1,824$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…e450backed Yes | 65c | 1,820$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 16c | 1,618$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed No | 20c | 1,516$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…3655backed No | 19c | 1,492$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed No | 34c | 1,488$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 19c | 1,450$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 35c | 1,442$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…a19fbacked No | 5c | 1,411$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 3c | 1,405$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…8274backed Yes | 67c | 1,400$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 70c | 1,363$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.49 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 75c | 1,359$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 42c | 1,347$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 38c | 1,324$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…a914backed No | 12c | 1,309$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 1,309$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…72fdbacked No | 6c | 1,264$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 13c | 1,257$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed No | 32c | 1,256$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…cd8fbacked No | 17c | 1,158$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,157$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 27c | 1,131$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 24c | 1,126$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…ba6cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,126$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…e12dbacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 30c | 1,103$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.03 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed No | 31c | 1,095$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 3c | 1,093$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…3da6backed No | 27c | 1,078$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 74c | 1,056$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.