World Politics · resolved market
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96edcc6ed23513e079bce51b512e317f64153a54cc4f870198374c0ce0765bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x345a…b413backed Yes | 8c | 7,801$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe5…18d8backed Yes | 3c | 4,919$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed No | 78c | 4,472$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 3,544$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,771$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed No | 65c | 2,176$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…9d4ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,814$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 10c | 1,480$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 21c | 1,453$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.71 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 47c | 1,392$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 15c | 1,290$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 1,160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,107$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 50c | 1,094$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 3c | 1,085$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 64c | 1,065$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.74 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 36c | 1,024$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.38 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 8c | 999.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…e9e8backed Yes | 18c | 903.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…f517backed Yes | 68c | 871.64$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 71c | 848.44$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 4c | 828.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2a2dbacked No | 72c | 761.01$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…bd21backed No | 58c | 737.88$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 726.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 54c | 702.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.81 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 599.73$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.52 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 77c | 591.25$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 53c | 561.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…b07dbacked No | 79c | 554.16$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 536.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…2898backed No | 78c | 485.86$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…4d20backed Yes | 64c | 468.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed Yes | 65c | 450.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 25c | 444.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…a03ebacked Yes | 37c | 432.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 10c | 410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…efffbacked No | 60c | 392.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…e58cbacked No | 42c | 389.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 384.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 377.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 50c | 344.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 6c | 339.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…f981backed Yes | 52c | 299.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 64c | 286.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 8c | 285$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…9f0fbacked Yes | 7c | 269.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 259.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 61c | 259.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…7a20backed Yes | 6c | 254.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…034abacked No | 66c | 248.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 71c | 243.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 62c | 241.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…3616backed Yes | 58c | 232.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 8c | 225.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 17c | 223.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…f78cbacked Yes | 34c | 203.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…cbb7backed Yes | 49c | 201.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…4908backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +1,077.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 48c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4303backed Yes | 58c | 179.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed Yes | 58c | 173.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…608abacked No | 58c | 172.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…45f8backed Yes | 11c | 166.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…a321backed Yes | 40c | 154.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…78aabacked No | 67c | 148.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…056fbacked Yes | 69c | 145.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a3…70c0backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…c2cbbacked No | 62c | 120.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…b959backed Yes | 37c | 119.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 49c | 117$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked No | 37c | 113$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…48cabacked No | 48c | 109.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…c6c3backed Yes | 55c | 95.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…d41bbacked No | 54c | 94.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…1682backed Yes | 17c | 90.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…ef3bbacked Yes | 27c | 87.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…0155backed No | 45c | 84.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 45c | 84.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…fe0dbacked Yes | 74c | 83.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…5996backed Yes | 26c | 77.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 41c | 67.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…60e9backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…d9a1backed Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Yes | 20c | 64.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 55c | 61.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…80b1backed Yes | 34c | 60.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…e370backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?this page
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes won
- Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.