World Politics · resolved market
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e858828ba8210601f25d152efdff8428f679ad7a833efc9b1c9e890cae64fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 1c | 17,817$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 67c | 17,074$11,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.87 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 0c | 11,507$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…28b7backed Yes | 1c | 10,849$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 1c | 10,488$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 75c | 9,960$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,495.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 4,093$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.56 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 34c | 3,824$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 4c | 3,788$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 23c | 3,550$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 9c | 3,059$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed Yes | 36c | 2,949$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,628$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 36c | 2,584$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.61 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 1c | 2,030$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 30c | 1,896$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…d10cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,890$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,677$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 9c | 1,573$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe5…18d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,391$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 19c | 1,350$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 30c | 1,300$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.48 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…0e74backed Yes | 3c | 1,231$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,207$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,052$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 1c | 998.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 29c | 955.11$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.06 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 54c | 899$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…da10backed Yes | 76c | 785.17$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 740.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…8690backed No | 79c | 723.2$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 66c | 693.85$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…0d88backed No | 73c | 683.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 21c | 672$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…866abacked Yes | 12c | 662.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…d0f8backed Yes | 16c | 651$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 7c | 644.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 616.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…10a2backed Yes | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 22c | 581.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…9d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 565.09$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 4c | 550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 59c | 545.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 15c | 520$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a867backed Yes | 26c | 516.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…46f9backed Yes | 6c | 514.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 72c | 483$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 448.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…ea9ebacked No | 67c | 432.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +241.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Yes | 71c | 426.41$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…9d7cbacked Yes | 23c | 425.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…0155backed Yes | 13c | 417.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 21c | 414.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…efffbacked Yes | 11c | 412.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 74c | 361$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 37c | 360.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 33c | 356$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed Yes | 30c | 338.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 59c | 334.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 74c | 332.07$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 16c | 332.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 12c | 329.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…eea2backed Yes | 9c | 327.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 3c | 325.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 17c | 315.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 68c | 304.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…f6c0backed Yes | 14c | 302.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed No | 78c | 272.08$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…08f0backed No | 67c | 271.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 22c | 266.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…bff1backed Yes | 12c | 255.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…80b1backed Yes | 19c | 241.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…9c79backed Yes | 9c | 226.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +597.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…442dbacked Yes | 79c | 203$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…b07dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…393abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…1664backed Yes | 29c | 198.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 71c | 197.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…1555backed Yes | 47c | 194.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 76c | 189.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 18c | 187.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 68c | 185.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 28c | 183.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 34c | 177.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…050fbacked Yes | 75c | 158.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…0f99backed No | 72c | 138.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 64c | 125.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 123.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes | 18c | 109.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?this page
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?No won
- Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes won
- Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.