World Politics · resolved market
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25718a2abd65d87d6165177e4be88802b0db2e894a55f939f28110b7156b4971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,480$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…46f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,278$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e3…aababacked Yes | 32c | 1,219$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…e341backed Yes | 31c | 1,027$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…12fdbacked No | 69c | 1,027$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 5c | 998.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ce16backed No | 71c | 871.03$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 26c | 831.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…3422backed Yes | 65c | 760.74$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c2…5801backed Yes | 38c | 718$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf96…5b35backed No | 62c | 718$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 700.65$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…0e74backed Yes | 9c | 589.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 13c | 589.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 29c | 563.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.42 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 34c | 535.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…da10backed Yes | 49c | 532.72$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…1807backed Yes | 21c | 476.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 5c | 472.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 6c | 456.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 15c | 431.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 73c | 397.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…0d88backed No | 65c | 376.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 17c | 344.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 78c | 337.85$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…dbecbacked Yes | 38c | 318.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 22c | 299.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…8823backed Yes | 23c | 294.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…2f6bbacked Yes | 35c | 269.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…a3a3backed Yes | 26c | 251.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked No | 65c | 234.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 230.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…457abacked No | 67c | 225.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…4908backed Yes | 9c | 199.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +1,077.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 67c | 193.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…d41bbacked No | 63c | 159.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…9a26backed Yes | 44c | 158.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…de93backed No | 68c | 156.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 18c | 156.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed No | 60c | 155$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…25cbbacked Yes | 16c | 153.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes | 41c | 151.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…55edbacked No | 68c | 148.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…f7adbacked Yes | 34c | 145.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc47…da42backed No | 69c | 144.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…779bbacked Yes | 25c | 128.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 69c | 124.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 8c | 121.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…4a7cbacked Yes | 15c | 117.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…5610backed Yes | 34c | 116.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 18c | 109.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…ded9backed Yes | 38c | 104.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 35c | 101.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…7b7ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…de39backed Yes | 35c | 99.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…9beebacked Yes | 21c | 94.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes | 45c | 89.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 34c | 87.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…efffbacked No | 72c | 81.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 24c | 77.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes | 25c | 75.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…4427backed Yes | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…4a2abacked Yes | 21c | 62.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…5627backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed No | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 75c | 58.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes | 35c | 57.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…aaebbacked Yes | 39c | 52.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 22c | 51.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…bbb2backed Yes | 39c | 51.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…0e3abacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…1d42backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…5f96backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 43.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…d8e7backed Yes | 41c | 41.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…7274backed Yes | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 73c | 38.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked No | 70c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…c524backed Yes | 42c | 33.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a7…d832backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…4330backed No | 77c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 76c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed No | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…3e26backed No | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?this page
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will François Bayrou be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gabriel Attal be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérard Larcher be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Thierry Beaudet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?No won
- Will another person be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes won
- Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.