TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c8,480$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.681,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c3,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc3…46f9backed Yes2c1,278$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e3…aababacked Yes32c1,219$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x485e…e341backed Yes31c1,027$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b33…12fdbacked No69c1,027$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes5c998.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.522356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3701…ce16backed No71c871.03$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.91546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes26c831.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.846883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…3422backed Yes65c760.74$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c2…5801backed Yes38c718$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf96…5b35backed No62c718$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No70c700.65$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0757636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84dd…8701backed Yes38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.873046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeec5…0e74backed Yes9c589.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.111421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes13c589.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.663525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No29c563.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.425843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…1935backed Yes34c535.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f16…da10backed Yes49c532.72$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6a…1807backed Yes21c476.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes5c472.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7320328.6%58 W · 145 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes6c456.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.930233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes15c431.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…7b80backed No73c397.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.519348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0260…0d88backed No65c376.92$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes17c344.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6211435.1%40 W · 74 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3814…f0bfbacked No78c337.85$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.31369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0249…dbecbacked Yes38c318.35$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c7…82cebacked Yes22c299.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.512416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54df…8823backed Yes23c294.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f6…2f6bbacked Yes35c269.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1e…a3a3backed Yes26c251.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked No65c234.47$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes14c230.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.144766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6471…457abacked No67c225.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa05…4908backed Yes9c199.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+1,077.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0d…c6bebacked No67c193.02$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.592941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…d41bbacked No63c159.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7438…9a26backed Yes44c158.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…de93backed No68c156.17$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Yes18c156.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.463727%10 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed No60c155$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.781050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+120.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae89…25cbbacked Yes16c153.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-72.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes41c151.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc93…55edbacked No68c148.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c79…f7adbacked Yes34c145.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc47…da42backed No69c144.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa92…779bbacked Yes25c128.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f1…ec06backed No69c124.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.13862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes8c121.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2160%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x943d…4a7cbacked Yes15c117.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e44…5610backed Yes34c116.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes18c109.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+196.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x752a…ded9backed Yes38c104.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes35c101.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4413343.6%58 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.69942.4%42 W · 57 L-11.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.320538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…7b7ebacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…d753backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd31…de39backed Yes35c99.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No72c96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3311020.9%23 W · 87 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e98…9beebacked Yes21c94.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…ab3dbacked Yes45c89.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8af…04e7backed Yes34c87.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes16c85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6926139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3d…efffbacked No72c81.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes24c77.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.979248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes25c75.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…4a2abacked Yes21c62.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x669b…5627backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148f…2f09backed No50c59.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No75c58.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5331443.9%138 W · 176 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes35c57.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4f…aaebbacked Yes39c52.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc39d…4891backed Yes22c51.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+131.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe6…bbb2backed Yes39c51.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2341…0e3abacked No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f07…1d42backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4f…5f96backed No63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No65c43.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5632255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x578c…d8e7backed Yes41c41.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…7274backed Yes45c39.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No73c38.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1117227.9%48 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4919…33fbbacked No70c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+83.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a42…c524backed Yes42c33.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a7…d832backed No70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b8…4330backed No77c25.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No76c25.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.062939.2%27 W · 266 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed No62c23.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+86.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a87…3e26backed No65c18.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.