Us Politics · resolved market
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d41e65209690c2f9a6347019fbad1113bdf6f617d24befee07a60dfe389fa4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 0c | 43,326$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 9c | 30,409$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.64 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 72c | 13,333$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 12,733$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.89 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce92…3dfbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 39c | 6,348$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.75 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…ff91backed Yes | 0c | 6,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 1c | 5,420$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 55c | 5,094$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,194$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…aa47backed Yes | 1c | 3,124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 0c | 3,027$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 2,847$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 2,787$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,718$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…e33cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,046$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 1,858$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,831$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…f132backed Yes | 1c | 1,751$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…1925backed No | 69c | 1,725$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…c9febacked Yes | 1c | 1,581$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…82debacked Yes | 28c | 1,294$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 68c | 1,274$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 68c | 1,231$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,229$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…bc71backed Yes | 6c | 1,161$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 13c | 1,149$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 18c | 1,110$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…109cbacked Yes | 4c | 932.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…debcbacked Yes | 5c | 869.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 803.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 763.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 6c | 719.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…e200backed No | 73c | 700$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…ba12backed Yes | 5c | 616.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…873abacked No | 74c | 599.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 71c | 575.6$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4400backed Yes | 55c | 510.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…2aa9backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed No | 30c | 498.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 447.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…6c97backed Yes | 2c | 433.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…43a4backed No | 45c | 431.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…457abacked No | 45c | 410$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 34c | 405.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…38f7backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 49c | 388.95$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 47c | 381.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 29c | 342.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 25c | 318.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…2247backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 61c | 301.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 7c | 295.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 73c | 286.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…b797backed Yes | 7c | 277.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 77c | 275.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…50cebacked Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…1075backed Yes | 8c | 234.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…3616backed Yes | 57c | 224.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 44c | 221.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…a136backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 28c | 198.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 76c | 196.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 183.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…e881backed Yes | 55c | 181.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed No | 53c | 179.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…af57backed No | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed Yes | 69c | 145.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…35bbbacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0797…cef4backed No | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…c9d5backed Yes | 8c | 139.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 136.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…2ba7backed No | 74c | 135.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 75c | 133.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…2b0abacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 68c | 130.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…36bfbacked Yes | 16c | 122.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 20c | 122.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…0869backed Yes | 17c | 114.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 58c | 112.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bbb1backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…cee7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…196fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…82f0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…9c76backed Yes | 33c | 99.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…54f4backed No | 74c | 98.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 25c | 91.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 70c | 90.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…08cbbacked Yes | 26c | 86.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?this page
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 2?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.