Us Politics · resolved market
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27288994f537fbcb8861b69ff714f5d00cec2c8c6ac933bad7a808375e131e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 64c | 102,285$65,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,153.73 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 28c | 74,705$21,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,005.29 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 21c | 32,000$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,619.98 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 27c | 27,407$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,424.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,146$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 24c | 11,243$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 51c | 10,717$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 3c | 9,993$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 45c | 8,483$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.18 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 76c | 7,537$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 48c | 7,004$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.91 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked No | 74c | 6,766$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 37c | 5,276$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Yes | 41c | 4,870$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 4,726$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.53 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 17c | 4,639$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 4,285$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.03 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 74c | 4,001$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…fa0dbacked No | 71c | 3,900$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed No | 31c | 3,824$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.46 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 76c | 3,808$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,913$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,697$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.01 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,099$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 14c | 1,970$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.29 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 71c | 1,936$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.82 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 68c | 1,888$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…2e0bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,888$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 38c | 1,823$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 21c | 1,821$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 49c | 1,580$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 1,543$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.09 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 1,498$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 12c | 1,459$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.62 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…6f55backed Yes | 76c | 1,304$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 32c | 1,234$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 65c | 1,138$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 75c | 1,064$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 33c | 1,045$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed No | 21c | 1,025$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc823…a910backed Yes | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed No | 67c | 999.98$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 27c | 999.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…ba3cbacked Yes | 68c | 978.44$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…6df1backed Yes | 32c | 955$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…5be3backed No | 68c | 942.21$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…32ccbacked No | 13c | 930.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…ce29backed Yes | 33c | 912.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…f25fbacked Yes | 23c | 876.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 825.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed No | 65c | 796.08$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…09cdbacked No | 13c | 795.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 18c | 776$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…dfdebacked No | 68c | 760.83$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 75c | 741.48$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 78c | 735$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…f17cbacked Yes | 49c | 716.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 36c | 702.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…c4edbacked Yes | 34c | 683.15$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 54c | 679.77$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09f…8639backed Yes | 8c | 672.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 30c | 672.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked No | 60c | 630.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 25c | 627.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a78…83cfbacked Yes | 34c | 617.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…cab6backed No | 73c | 592.36$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…2d43backed No | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 579$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 551.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 50c | 546.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 70c | 529.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…a2b9backed Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 35c | 459.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed No | 12c | 418.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 65c | 415.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 73cpaid | -53%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 63c | 398.7$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 29c | 388.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd608…3821backed No | 14c | 385.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…d964backed No | 21c | 378.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…988ebacked No | 18c | 350$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa915…deb8backed No | 69c | 328.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…fcdcbacked No | 29c | 325.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 36c | 322.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…d88bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 56c | 310.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?this page
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 2?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?No won
- Will House and Senate pass funding bill by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.