AI · resolved market
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc785525e9bb8e8f2e64ed116ee8b8169abca30a2beaa1b366365f220dbb1e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,131,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,172,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,131,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 793 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 29,814$12,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,422.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 68c | 21,779$14,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 20,924$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.88 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 7c | 20,611$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 74c | 17,207$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…be0dbacked Yes | 42c | 14,219$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 14c | 14,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,059.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 67c | 14,000$9,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,379.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 7c | 13,713$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,798.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 69c | 13,355$9,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.32 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 7c | 13,291$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,320.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 50c | 12,452$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.18 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 8c | 11,481$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,573.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 16c | 10,456$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.11 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed No | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 22c | 9,046$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 21c | 8,595$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.33 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…bfafbacked Yes | 20c | 8,471$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 4c | 7,761$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.19 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed No | 54c | 7,059$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 69c | 6,811$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 70c | 6,420$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 51c | 6,336$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked No | 64c | 6,324$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked No | 19c | 6,086$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…51cbbacked Yes | 74c | 5,916$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 61c | 5,763$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 18c | 5,522$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.89 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 48c | 5,349$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…44dabacked No | 50c | 5,078$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…b49cbacked No | 10c | 5,024$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +402.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed No | 16c | 5,000$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c280backed No | 74c | 4,890$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 4,804$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.67 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed No | 10c | 4,238$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 62c | 4,207$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.56 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked No | 79c | 4,205$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 55c | 4,187$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed No | 12c | 3,987$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 47c | 3,950$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 69c | 3,696$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,662$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 18c | 3,558$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed No | 54c | 3,450$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 44c | 3,381$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.89 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 61c | 3,366$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…269bbacked No | 63c | 3,160$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 3,066$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed No | 15c | 3,051$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…704cbacked No | 21c | 2,995$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 26c | 2,910$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.44 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…5c98backed No | 10c | 2,865$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked No | 19c | 2,848$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 2,832$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.21 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 60c | 2,829$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 3c | 2,784$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…9f16backed No | 50c | 2,694$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…7e8dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,691$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 58c | 2,558$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 19c | 2,509$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed No | 34c | 2,473$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.69 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4a85backed Yes | 6c | 2,471$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…4673backed No | 16c | 2,455$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +278.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 51c | 2,446$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.62 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 35c | 2,435$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed No | 79c | 2,363$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked No | 45c | 2,282$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed No | 7c | 2,239$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 51c | 2,212$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 77c | 2,209$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 5c | 2,122$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 15c | 2,008$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…8734backed No | 35c | 2,000$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…dd2ebacked No | 68c | 1,988$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…1a88backed No | 5c | 1,902$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +534.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 10c | 1,840$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…304dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…0333backed No | 75c | 1,793$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…3193backed No | 68c | 1,773$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 59c | 1,772$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…dc3bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,760$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 18c | 1,748$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…f4ddbacked No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 6c | 1,690$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a6a1backed No | 11c | 1,632$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +253.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…4333backed No | 62c | 1,609$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 58c | 1,606$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.04 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 27c | 1,546$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…dd22backed Yes | 6c | 1,540$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 77c | 1,540$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.31 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 45c | 1,540$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…c8f8backed No | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…9c46backed No | 76c | 1,519$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…6e50backed No | 66c | 1,509$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 51c | 1,478$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.58 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.