Music · resolved market
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcde7eec764a4e3dd2c43e92efec3cd23d8df64cceff357914a31d2c7820a6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 31c | 31,030$9,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 26c | 19,943$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…962bbacked Yes | 46c | 15,267$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 80c | 10,626$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…8d5fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,905$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,892$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 5,201$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.12 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 73c | 4,976$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.96 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 5c | 4,766$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 4,263$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.16 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 4,260$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 69c | 3,649$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 79c | 3,381$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 24c | 3,155$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,630$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 75c | 2,564$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…dad9backed No | 60c | 2,200$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 7c | 2,145$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 10c | 2,052$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 69c | 1,961$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…f6debacked Yes | 1c | 1,944$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 25c | 1,695$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.46 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 75c | 1,652$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 3c | 1,647$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…ed58backed Yes | 13c | 1,520$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 74c | 1,497$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 7c | 1,471$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…70a9backed No | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yes | 7c | 1,337$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 72c | 1,257$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed No | 51c | 1,250$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 23c | 1,118$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 68c | 1,100$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.18 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 1,030$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 959.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 908.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 77c | 900$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 66c | 881.06$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 13c | 732.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…22d5backed Yes | 29c | 689.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 76c | 666$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…3e8bbacked Yes | 8c | 647.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…7b0ebacked Yes | 7c | 606.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 8c | 561.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0a23backed Yes | 18c | 542.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 78c | 504.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…21a7backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…0376backed Yes | 2c | 499.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed No | 78c | 492.95$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa118…7228backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 65c | 445.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 31c | 444.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b81…b08abacked Yes | 5c | 432.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…72e6backed Yes | 2c | 424.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…18a7backed Yes | 25c | 401.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…a56fbacked No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d1dfbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…5d19backed Yes | 21c | 380.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 29c | 372.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed No | 80c | 371.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…2899backed Yes | 7c | 337.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 79c | 335.19$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…77e5backed Yes | 8c | 325.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…eb0abacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 79c | 291.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…118cbacked Yes | 4c | 281.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 8c | 268.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…2924backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 4c | 255.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…9436backed Yes | 6c | 253.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…83f8backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…2878backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 10c | 243$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed No | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…3f3fbacked Yes | 43c | 234.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…3336backed Yes | 8c | 218.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…f56abacked Yes | 6c | 218.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…5e69backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…210abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…1137backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.