Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x725f898b9e3d4728717d01fdcf4cdfc419282ef429d20261ae9e6732774db2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 37c | 2,750$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,735$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 861.26$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 303.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 276$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 239.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 37c | 227.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 60c | 158.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Over | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…bc79backed Under | 39c | 89.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 62c | 73.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 62c | 57.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 63c | 47.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…7e4fbacked Under | 39c | 45.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 37c | 45.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…aae8backed Under | 39c | 37.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…6a23backed Under | 39c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…9e3abacked Under | 39c | 33.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…b0ecbacked Under | 37c | 33.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…767cbacked Under | 39c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…51a3backed Under | 37c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c51fbacked Under | 39c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…9467backed Over | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…f7bdbacked Over | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…6c5abacked Over | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…c33bbacked Over | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…35d7backed Over | 65c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 72c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…22fdbacked Over | 65c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…0482backed Over | 62c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…2411backed Over | 62c | 21.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7cbcbacked Over | 62c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 64c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…141abacked Over | 62c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…925fbacked Over | 62c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…911dbacked Over | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.