NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9c92e5ef0b8200040e6c2a04128b90fb060126f6d5f1a7da29ae414242709b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Kraken, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 806 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Canadiens | 59c | 84,156$50,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,102.74 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kraken | 41c | 63,441$25,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,694.28 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 44c | 41,716$18,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,377.58 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 37c | 30,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Canadiens | 58c | 24,875$14,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,447.44 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken | 40c | 20,555$8,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,221.99 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 59c | 20,224$11,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.93 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Canadiens | 59c | 13,034$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.01 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Canadiens | 58c | 12,915$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 12,441$7,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Kraken | 41c | 8,263$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 30c | 6,751$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Kraken | 41c | 5,956$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Kraken | 21c | 5,054$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.33 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Canadiens | 58c | 5,005$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Kraken | 41c | 4,800$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…b407backed Canadiens | 60c | 4,700$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…971cbacked Kraken | 41c | 4,400$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Canadiens | 71c | 4,124$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.39 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…8455backed Kraken | 61c | 4,077$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Canadiens | 16c | 4,028$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.57 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Canadiens | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Kraken | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 59c | 3,554$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Canadiens | 37c | 2,849$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 42c | 2,844$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.42 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,511$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.86 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…9eb1backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,498$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kraken | 43c | 2,384$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.93 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 20c | 2,278$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 41c | 2,088$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.19 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,049$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.97 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Canadiens | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Canadiens | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kraken | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…5fc8backed Kraken | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Canadiens | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 71c | 1,894$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.41 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,849$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,833$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.06 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,780$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 40c | 1,720$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.18 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,655$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…fe62backed Kraken | 41c | 1,655$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…ed91backed Kraken | 41c | 1,550$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…2cadbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Canadiens | 72c | 1,336$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 63c | 1,301$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.86 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,265$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…cb4dbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Canadiens | 60c | 1,180$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.58 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,150$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.63 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…65dabacked Canadiens | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…7317backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 40c | 1,019$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.55 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Kraken | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kraken | 41c | 971.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 925.52$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 905$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Kraken | 32c | 900$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canadiens | 58c | 895$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…0c0ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 849.96$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Canadiens | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Canadiens | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0700…241dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 59c | 749.98$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Canadiens | 72c | 748$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…16eebacked Kraken | 41c | 716.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…2484backed Canadiens | 60c | 716.1$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0140backed Kraken | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed Canadiens | 60c | 714$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…6c9fbacked Kraken | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…62d5backed Canadiens | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Canadiens | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Canadiens | 75c | 662.37$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kraken | 24c | 651.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kraken | 35c | 643.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Kraken | 29c | 550.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens | 29c | 519.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Kraken | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Kraken | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Kraken | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…f072backed Kraken | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 58c | 422.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Canadiens | 63c | 400.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Canadiensthis page
- Kraken vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.