Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f89edb3e8002c0ad2d3b51d31120fa6a34d6194d161438fbaa7fc8c787e1580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 60c | 41,205$24,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,723.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 43c | 23,315$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,314.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 19,974$8,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,956.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 40c | 10,000$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 9,614$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 7,700$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.09 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 6,124$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.34 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 57c | 4,660$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.27 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 2,803$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.58 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Over | 42c | 2,413$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 40c | 2,404$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.15 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 2,238$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.69 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Over | 40c | 752.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 435.32$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 38c | 393.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 41c | 310.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 67c | 300.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Under | 47c | 217.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 59c | 204$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 42c | 196.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 181.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 59c | 159.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 41c | 120.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Over | 42c | 116.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 40c | 73.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 59c | 67.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 41c | 59.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 46.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 40c | 43.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Over | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 34c | 39.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…57c9backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…b0ecbacked Over | 42c | 37.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Under | 59c | 28.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…2099backed Over | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 26.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 21.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Under | 58c | 17.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…a144backed Under | 59c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 60c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 59c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.