Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00b03a0bbb365b95b2e4b5e5bd5119f1ec7694fc78f1eba0bd051129b4eb25e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,563$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,392$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ef29backed No | 51c | 803.86$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 49c | 606.59$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked No | 54c | 466.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 349.35$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 243.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 50c | 206.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 197.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 51c | 196.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 193.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 47c | 179.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…7ebdbacked Yes | 50c | 100.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 52c | 95.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 50c | 70.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 47.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…74ffbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 51c | 33.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 46c | 22.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.