Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff1988affae2aa5c03080804d869f463c1f52cdf085d589f672b6916e47b23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Under | 32c | 750$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Under | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 67c | 620.39$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 32c | 431$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 68c | 371.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 259.08$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 238.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 217.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 182.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 66c | 115.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 33c | 66.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 65.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 32c | 48.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 46.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 68c | 46.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 66c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.