Europa Conference League · resolved market
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc125e4b441b37ac66e54a5bf6371bfef2a86b53bf9f954ac56796f0b4afd5b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,832$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 1,963$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.83 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 55c | 1,784$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 2c | 1,272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 1,101$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 2c | 839.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 786$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.62 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 35c | 714$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 502.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 60c | 400$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 316.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 21c | 204.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 160.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 140.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Under | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 62.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Under | 73c | 61.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 41c | 34.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Under | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…63d7backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5this page
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.