NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3fcd2f88566ddbd0e09ce60d1f456249cec6a7fc13d63ee838039335089b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a35…6387backed Under | 0c | 43,909$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 51c | 29,568$15,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,079.7 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 49c | 20,946$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,682.76 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 49c | 8,550$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 5,801$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 3,508$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.12 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 3,207$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.62 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 50c | 1,554$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.39 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 1,451$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.43 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,197$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 1,129$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.65 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.65 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 52c | 970$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 51c | 860.77$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 683.43$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 52c | 660$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under | 53c | 470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 460$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 329.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 49c | 291.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Under | 53c | 283.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 264.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 55c | 178.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 51c | 163.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 161.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 51c | 147.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 119.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 111.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 55c | 111.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 72.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 71.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 58.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 58.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…dd5abacked Over | 53c | 56.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Over | 50c | 52.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…4656backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 47.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…dd82backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 53c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 50c | 30.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…b0ecbacked Under | 48c | 30.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…e345backed Over | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 48c | 23.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. WarriorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.