NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d9db1c516d251d6c9edbb3d7211821f7eb96c59279e4f2cb769a6a6b990c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a35…6387backed Under | 0c | 44,384$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 2,234$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 2,065$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,969$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,898$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 54c | 1,787$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.41 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 1,428$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.87 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 58c | 1,243$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 62c | 1,164$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.68 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 38c | 813.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 780.97$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 710$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 44c | 709.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 630$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 490$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 224.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 77c | 130.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 45c | 59.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 57.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 44c | 56.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 58c | 54.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 40.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…e371backed Under | 43c | 32.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 65c | 31.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 41c | 31.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 65c | 30.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 43c | 30.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 25.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Over | 70c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. WarriorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.