TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes38c1,900$719 inLost-$71967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No62c1,613$1,000 inWon+$612.946669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No61c1,225$745 inWon+$480.1826069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No61c1,212$736 inWon+$475.836953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…b90ebacked Yes40c632.16$250 inLost-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1078…b0a2backed Yes40c525.45$210 inLost-$2105433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No47c331$156 inWon+$175.4347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5f…4175backed Yes40c315$126 inLost-$12620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes40c210$84 inLost-$8418651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5760…ec95backed Yes38c197.37$75 inLost-$751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c189.94$118 inWon+$72.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes40c185.15$73 inLost-$73.2523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ac…9cafbacked Yes40c149.58$60 inLost-$59.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Yes40c127$51 inLost-$50.759047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes41c122.33$50 inLost-$5039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9085…b8dfbacked Yes40c100.63$40 inLost-$40100%0 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c81.08$49 inWon+$32.431,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost-$3040048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58a…71a1backed Yes38c66.58$25 inLost-$25.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes53c61$32 inLost-$32.3317233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No60c59.99$36 inWon+$2421672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52ca…33f3backed Yes39c51.88$20 inLost-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83bf…c5c8backed Yes37c51.81$19 inLost-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No42c39.53$17 inWon+$22.841,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No64c27$17 inWon+$9.8132866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked No46c22$10 inWon+$11.886750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Yes54c22$12 inLost-$11.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.