TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over51c47,500$24,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2755139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…6387backed Under0c46,706$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under52c36,072$18,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,710.3116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c28,000$13,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,093.121,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over48c23,975$11,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,370.9438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under50c18,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0007638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c11,945$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,211.452,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c5,309$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under49c5,278$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.856546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over51c3,927$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.3920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…62b4backed Over51c3,910$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under51c3,706$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.7751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,637$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c2,451$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c2,122$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.0818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over51c2,070$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,047$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c1,890$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.724456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under12c1,844$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.071,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,566$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c1,290$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under51c923.8$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1414244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under40c895.95$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3417233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c606$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c583$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.552,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Under52c454.09$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.076040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c438.78$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c398$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under22c382$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over52c361.9$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6116347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under52c357.19$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7412541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under54c335.22$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c305.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under20c295.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c294.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c289.09$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.765,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under38c283.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over51c272.79$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8321854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f32…0673backed Over55c272.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under12c265$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2526131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.417652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over52c242.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3112151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Under52c227.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.395038%19 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under6c210.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under52c195.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.678344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under12c190$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Over52c177.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4447359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb6…d200backed Under52c174.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Under53c173.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over52c155.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7721352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c148.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c113.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.471,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4513…3449backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under52c72.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7320149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under52c67.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b96…641bbacked Under52c66.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Under52c63.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9622148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Over79c58.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…e80fbacked Over49c50.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c48.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864e…9619backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57eb…36b2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4614252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b2…7b9dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4631955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa665…4234backed Under52c38.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under52c37.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.637846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under52c37.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.267650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under30c36.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca32…47f0backed Under52c33.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.377042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Under50c32.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.138960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Over53c32.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1111250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b32…0b40backed Under52c28.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Over50c28.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2918250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc35…91ddbacked Under50c27.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.855255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under53c27.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5911752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over58c27.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Under52c25.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.285040%20 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over50c23.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6423453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…7ba7backed Over52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.