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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Celtics48c128,900$61,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,970.4751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors52c91,000$47,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,320.0487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Warriors52c40,434$21,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,025.4819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors51c14,000$7,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,189.971,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Celtics48c9,104$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,734.1748546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Celtics48c5,688$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Warriors53c5,350$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.54725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics47c5,011$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.8344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Celtics48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors53c4,105$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics54c3,772$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics47c3,094$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Warriors53c2,840$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics47c2,724$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Celtics48c2,710$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.4219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Warriors53c2,688$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.5733146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors52c1,214$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Warriors39c1,195$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.475855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Warriors48c1,140$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics48c877.61$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Celtics47c786.79$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4176841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics47c596$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics47c583.95$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.851,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics51c499.42$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.413,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics51c430$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.193,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Warriors48c371.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.082748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics48c339.35$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.31,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Warriors54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Warriors10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors53c297.68$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.281,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics47c288.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Celtics48c280.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Warriors50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Celtics52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.239842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Warriors52c233.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics47c200.54$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Celtics48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Warriors8c194$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Warriors53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Warriors58c162$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.182055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c159.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Warriors54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e37…b594backed Celtics48c121.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Warriors12c116$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Warriors54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Warriors45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Warriors53c96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Warriors53c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Celtics50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511051.8%57 W · 53 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors53c68.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0916250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Celtics50c67.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8111250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Warriors50c61.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors21c60.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Celtics47c51.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Warriors51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Warriors32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.033231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Warriors52c46.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Celtics75c42.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics47c41.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Celtics49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8243647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Celtics49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Warriors53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Warriors54c37.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3921854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Warriors53c36.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.539445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Celtics47c33.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7819750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Celtics52c29.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2930743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics48c28.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Warriors53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics78c22.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Warriors52c22.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7753349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors51c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.