NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35aecafb79aeafc835c8010fb67718a64d8970e550b980f511ea32e820e39345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Celtics | 59c | 47,471$27,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610.54 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 40c | 35,198$14,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,234.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 40c | 4,242$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics | 54c | 3,642$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.25 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 39c | 3,195$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,944$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.53 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 55c | 2,744$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 50c | 2,031$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Warriors | 49c | 2,025$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.14 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Warriors | 45c | 1,481$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.45 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 48c | 1,417$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 2c | 1,210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 42c | 944.72$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Warriors | 48c | 903.74$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.22 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 45c | 873.89$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.13 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Warriors | 41c | 676.02$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Warriors | 48c | 621.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 52c | 567.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.31 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed Warriors | 41c | 432.51$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 52c | 429.65$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 413.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Warriors | 49c | 349.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 46c | 348$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 41c | 304$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Celtics | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 6c | 297.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 60c | 290.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 42c | 288$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 18c | 281$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 60c | 276.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…bca8backed Celtics | 55c | 193.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warriors | 7c | 192$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 41c | 185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Celtics | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Warriors | 42c | 159$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 42c | 158.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Celtics | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 44c | 144.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 42c | 144$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Celtics | 66c | 143.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 42c | 141.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Celtics | 54c | 139.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Warriors | 23c | 129.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Celtics | 52c | 128.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 54c | 124.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Warriors | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 58c | 115.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Celtics | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Warriors | 44c | 109.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Warriors | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Warriors | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Celtics | 80c | 95.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 42c | 92.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Celtics | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Celtics | 49c | 81.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 41c | 76.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…dce7backed Warriors | 42c | 76.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Celtics | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Warriors | 41c | 74.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Celtics | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Celtics | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Warriors | 54c | 72.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 39c | 64.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 49c | 62.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Celtics | 37c | 62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors | 42c | 61.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Warriors | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Warriors | 53c | 56.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Celtics | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 58c | 52.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Warriors | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Celtics | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Celtics | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Warriors | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Warriors | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Warriors | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Warriors | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Warriors | 41c | 47.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Warriors | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Warriors | 42c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Warriors | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Warriors | 40c | 36.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Celtics | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dd…cea3backed Warriors | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Celtics | 60c | 34.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Warriors | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Warriors | 41c | 31.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Celtics | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Celtics | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…8796backed Warriors | 43c | 29.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Warriors | 42c | 26.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Celtics | 56c | 24.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Warriors | 42c | 24.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Celtics | 59c | 22.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 51c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. WarriorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.