TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Over51c55,149$28,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,126.25658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c25,897$13,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,413.996,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c24,378$12,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,334.915246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under50c12,516$6,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,257.823633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c10,525$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,367.961,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c7,540$3,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,845.619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c7,136$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c7,129$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.6537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c3,571$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.2185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,953$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.199153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c2,450$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.7113662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c2,345$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.82,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under51c1,970$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.34445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c1,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a73…1660backed Under50c1,518$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7593100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c1,064$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over10c1,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.147829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over51c999$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4913565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Over50c985.29$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.641872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Over51c881.04$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.331030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c603.06$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c405.16$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.631752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.95650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over51c393.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c367.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2516357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15360557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9935134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under51c272.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.545438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c161.78$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5139052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over29c138.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c133.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.684755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.610147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c101.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.951,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under51c98.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Under52c96.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.373464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c94.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4520758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under72c81.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0313152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.45149%25 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over38c74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1210733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c69.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.224,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d8…480bbacked Under73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c62.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.419048.4%92 W · 98 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd520…09a1backed Over50c60.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-63.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.628458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.625560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under55c53.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4342658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.527661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Under49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.491560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under49c45.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0729855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over45c44.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over46c41.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194050%20 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.65646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed Over52c39.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over51c39.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over50c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6118651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.