TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c14,525$8,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.766,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over11c2,999$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over76c1,999$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.2413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c1,106$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.224,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c1,103$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.962,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under24c871.2$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over13c850$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under26c849.84$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c805.45$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.121,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over16c760.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under25c661.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.417829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.836852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under24c409.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2964170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over40c383$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c329.32$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.974156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over64c300.22$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over20c300$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb623…47a1backed Over63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c299.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9115740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over20c290$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under72c283.24$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.312653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over21c233.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2213842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over75c202.67$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Under25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under25c199.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over76c198.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c192.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over24c192.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2635743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over75c172.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over47c167.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6825550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over21c160$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe90…5bbbbacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over20c141.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over20c135.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1217244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over22c127.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5120143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c113.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Under27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.116749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Under45c108.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over25c98.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.598041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over76c90.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.54966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under26c62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8813045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under24c53.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.459230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c50.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d42…4f02backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd520…09a1backed Over75c40.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-63.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.216251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Over61c36.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.463066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under58c31.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over75c30.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235164.7%33 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over57c26.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under79c26.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.475565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under45c24.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.424468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over75c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dda…35d5backed Over58c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under67c22.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over54c22.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.925949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over72c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Over69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over76c19.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under72c18.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.231849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.