TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over56c67,000$37,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,416.183250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over60c58,264$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c40,644$19,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,007.33,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c26,807$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,491.5184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under40c19,161$7,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,446.8615947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c17,585$7,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,252.982,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c6,014$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.4691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under44c5,555$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.81275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c5,000$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2406858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Under47c2,651$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.18124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under39c2,211$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.8612955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over28c1,700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6646…0925backed Over54c1,606$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3808…b5b8backed Under46c1,597$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under42c977$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.574914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over54c971.69$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.434250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under44c799.98$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.992951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c609.09$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under39c449$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.899858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under72c447.22$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under45c440.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.166363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under44c394.57$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over56c359.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under44c359.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.092846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under44c355.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.716950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over57c351.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c335.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.871,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3311449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under43c328.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.055846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c326.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.662,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c320.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over56c320.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under41c309$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3118049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c270$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.214252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over54c255.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.973327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.88046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over54c229.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over58c199.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.994131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under72c164.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.191050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over46c148.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c144.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under45c135.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.563148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over52c118.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7521243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under48c118.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.752835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under45c111.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.577851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c109.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.237055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Under47c107.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.342157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under47c105.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3514963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c101.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.970239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5323949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over57c91.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.082450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c90.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.