Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb5ce31f84d0d116c353653717f23866a4f44802fb6a62bfc483211006804d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,344$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,625$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 56c | 1,290$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…409abacked No | 53c | 940.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 36c | 914.24$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 799.97$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 619.58$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 603.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 55c | 364.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 50c | 332$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 327.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 63c | 254.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 234.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 29c | 215.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 208.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…16b7backed Yes | 56c | 162.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 145.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 122.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 48c | 104.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 100.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 56c | 89.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 82.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…31e9backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 56c | 71.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 61.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 55c | 45.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 46c | 44.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…36b2backed Yes | 40c | 37.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…db4cbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…6ae0backed Yes | 50c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed No | 59c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…3954backed Yes | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…a3e3backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Yes | 71c | 14.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…eee9backed Yes | 74c | 13.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.