TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c1,532$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.633,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9821925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c1,391$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.392,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under15c1,250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.854914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over65c579$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over77c454.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c416.76$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6170639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under34c347.61$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24924655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c288.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4292050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under17c270$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.114252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under17c230$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.98046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under17c225$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7510554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over71c197.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c192.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3363957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under17c180$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under17c180$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.48953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over68c180$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Under47c172.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over64c171.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5120%0 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c128.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7426747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.68052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.67754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.67647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.68551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.68057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.68755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under45c113.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed Over79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6124049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Under21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over74c94.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over71c91.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514741.5%61 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Under23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under17c80$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c77.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4538753%205 W · 182 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over60c73.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under21c71.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.82548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over45c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.423036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over18c67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c66.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.782,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over79c65.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.069855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over79c63.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502576%19 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.83060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over68c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.121050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under45c42.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.732437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over43c40.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under53c37.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.624575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over80c37.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Over80c37.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over80c34.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over65c27.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2f…78a9backed Over79c26.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164860.4%29 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…2646backed Over80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over79c18.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Over59c18.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9844…35dfbacked Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Over80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.