Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeefb9ea3abb4a6cc16c3ecebffebe2d8f699c2fbf387b5b6e437172d3f14c553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Crvena zvezdaof Lille OSC, FK Crvena zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Lille OSC | 37c | 4,907$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.21 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Crvena zvezda | 64c | 3,655$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed FK Crvena zvezda | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed FK Crvena zvezda | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Lille OSC | 23c | 1,262$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lille OSC | 40c | 640.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 60c | 635.54$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.3 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed FK Crvena zvezda | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed FK Crvena zvezda | 69c | 441.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lille OSC | 40c | 410.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked FK Crvena zvezda | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Lille OSC | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lille OSC | 7c | 371.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Lille OSC | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 199.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 156.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Lille OSC | 37c | 132.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lille OSC | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 111.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Lille OSC | 35c | 101.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed Lille OSC | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…e905backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…2ccfbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 66c | 61.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Lille OSC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931d…774abacked Lille OSC | 33c | 60.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Lille OSC | 35c | 59.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 53.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Crvena zvezda | 64c | 53.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Lille OSC | 39c | 48.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…daf8backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Lille OSC | 35c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lille OSC | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Lille OSC | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…1750backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 33.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FK Crvena zvezda | 67c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 75c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed FK Crvena zvezda | 65c | 30.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0a…8b4ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…966fbacked Lille OSC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…a813backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…4676backed FK Crvena zvezda | 68c | 17.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.