TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c11,900$7,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,304.9290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c8,066$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,268.394,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under10c4,467$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under53c4,019$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.63053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb86…cc67backed Under57c2,003$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed Over43c1,995$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c1,635$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.381,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over32c1,560$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.953154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over35c1,300$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under42c1,250$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,218$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over39c1,207$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.2726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over38c1,039$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.163043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under67c871.52$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.922958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c663.07$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.512,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c652.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.257440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under74c540.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over39c514.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.611758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over39c513.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.156642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under9c422.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.686412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under51c393.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…bb0abacked Under53c379.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over39c350$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.534252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over42c349.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.967644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8334050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.453461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.997236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c299.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c298$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.613824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over42c251$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6311947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under12c219.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.792321.7%5 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+212.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c200.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.528732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1316745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under63c170.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under57c161.91$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.291540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.858236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over37c145.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.957855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.147865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under61c132.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.981,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under57c117.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over49c107.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.693764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Over38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.992650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under63c96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.484744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Over43c80.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over38c79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under62c77.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.844447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7415344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under62c69.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.183461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over36c66.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c64.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.981,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over39c61.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.525349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under69c60.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.44850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.054452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c52.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over39c48.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5919344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under60c48.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Over76c48.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.462638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid+291.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.368958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6212445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b1…fc8abacked Over38c44.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over35c43.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4416040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9d…40e7backed Over44c39.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c36.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under62c36.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c34.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2717648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under66c33.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1828446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3318842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbaa…3129backed Under57c31.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Under58c30.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.683138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under58c30.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.745846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.