La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100d3042386319a405ea7ce12c5fd9ac45a8ef02146748373ecc6c9c5c2c94e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 4,181$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.97 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 26c | 2,315$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 1,450$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 956.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.65 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 862.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.93 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 29c | 752.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 70c | 500$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 431.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 6c | 227.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 10c | 207.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 206.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 188.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 125.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 75c | 89.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 24c | 84.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 34c | 77.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 73c | 60.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 27c | 47.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…0534backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 79c | 20.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Under | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.