TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab5f…f76e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
385
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT16955%93 W · 76 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.74
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85%+$11.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$27.45
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$18.77
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$15.28
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$66.22
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.33
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$26.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$33.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.42
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$25.38
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.09
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$14.05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.91
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.17
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.42
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$25.07
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT9660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$9.46
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.23
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$9.25
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+76%+$35.42
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.04
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$16.22
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$44.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.14
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT7157.7%41 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$20.84
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$23.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.62
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.03
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$47.58
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.91
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$15
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.59
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$9.16
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$24.9
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.74
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$47.72
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.47
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.