Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cbdbaf084d59a580996625bb1427a92f16103e10fdf12f3a5b35e30b889c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 7,510$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.54 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Heroic | 23c | 5,704$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.91 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Heroic | 56c | 4,500$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.02 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 42c | 3,537$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.86 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,341$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.13 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 3,330$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Heroic | 46c | 2,333$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.28 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Heroic | 48c | 2,141$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,026$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.38 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 47c | 1,972$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 41c | 1,970$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.54 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,760$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heroic | 20c | 1,700$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Heroic | 25c | 1,548$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 43c | 1,486$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.08 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,317$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 47c | 1,312$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.64 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 52c | 1,305$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.09 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Heroic | 20c | 1,199$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Heroic | 43c | 1,174$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Heroic | 33c | 1,060$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Heroic | 21c | 1,041$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Heroic | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 999.44$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 62c | 997.14$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 56c | 930.29$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 800$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 730.37$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 61c | 714.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Falcons | 80c | 687$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Heroic | 59c | 680.93$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Heroic | 20c | 654$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 48c | 606.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 50c | 603.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 33c | 597.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.17 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 510.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Team Falcons | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Heroic | 26c | 499.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 66c | 481.39$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Heroic | 60c | 480.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Heroic | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 52c | 434.07$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 32c | 433.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heroic | 33c | 423$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 388.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 68c | 382.08$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Heroic | 24c | 350.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed Team Falcons | 43c | 325.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 49c | 309.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Heroic | 66c | 303.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 278.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Falcons | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Heroic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Heroic | 47c | 243.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 241.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Team Falcons | 80c | 240.81$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 46c | 229.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…a21ebacked Heroic | 23c | 206.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 29c | 200.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Heroic | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Team Falcons | 54c | 196$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Team Falcons | 38c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Heroic | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Heroic | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Falcons | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heroic | 24c | 158.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Team Falcons | 76c | 154$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Heroic | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Heroic | 37c | 149.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…42d5backed Team Falcons | 72c | 145.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Heroic | 9c | 142.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Heroic | 51c | 142.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Falcons | 80c | 139$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic | 24c | 136.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 54c | 125.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Falcons | 45c | 125.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Falcons | 75c | 120.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic | 50c | 117.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 50c | 116.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Heroic | 23c | 110.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Team Falcons | 59c | 109.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Heroic | 9c | 109.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Team Falcons | 50c | 107.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Heroic | 22c | 106.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 106$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Heroic | 23c | 103.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.