CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1debf73bbefb871e72da21205c529e36d9279ce07b4bbb427e0d137d0afb21cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof HOTU, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked HOTU | 35c | 4,306$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.19 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed TDK | 65c | 4,213$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 60c | 3,622$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed TDK | 62c | 3,189$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.94 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…edc7backed HOTU | 38c | 3,091$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 73c | 2,758$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.89 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed HOTU | 40c | 2,511$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.29 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed TDK | 64c | 2,333$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.97 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 60c | 2,007$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.64 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed HOTU | 39c | 1,845$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.35 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed HOTU | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed HOTU | 39c | 1,500$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed TDK | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.15 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 43c | 1,283$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 67c | 1,213$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 61c | 1,153$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked HOTU | 38c | 1,032$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 44c | 890.78$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked HOTU | 39c | 761.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed HOTU | 40c | 705.96$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 59c | 705.84$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed HOTU | 32c | 655.79$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed HOTU | 38c | 559.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 63c | 535.6$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked HOTU | 40c | 527.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TDK | 61c | 512.22$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked HOTU | 39c | 511.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed TDK | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed HOTU | 40c | 496.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TDK | 61c | 466.6$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 34c | 443.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed TDK | 63c | 428.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed TDK | 64c | 407.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed HOTU | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed TDK | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed TDK | 65c | 376.88$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed HOTU | 40c | 368.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK | 74c | 345$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU | 35c | 328$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked TDK | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked TDK | 64c | 326.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HOTU | 37c | 325.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed TDK | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked HOTU | 37c | 318.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed HOTU | 52c | 316.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed TDK | 64c | 309.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 71c | 307.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed HOTU | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed TDK | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU | 24c | 298.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…c0c0backed HOTU | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed HOTU | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed HOTU | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked TDK | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed TDK | 66c | 213.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked HOTU | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TDK | 72c | 204.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked HOTU | 36c | 201.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed HOTU | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…8359backed HOTU | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU | 30c | 198.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked TDK | 65c | 196.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HOTU | 37c | 192.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 47c | 191.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 22c | 189.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HOTU | 38c | 184.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked TDK | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed HOTU | 56c | 179.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed TDK | 62c | 178.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed TDK | 68c | 175.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…f0a4backed HOTU | 38c | 174.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed HOTU | 51c | 171.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 69c | 160.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked TDK | 78c | 156.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked TDK | 65c | 149.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed TDK | 61c | 147.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked TDK | 71c | 145.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked TDK | 63c | 145.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…e207backed TDK | 62c | 141.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed HOTU | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed HOTU | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed HOTU | 17c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed HOTU | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed TDK | 63c | 130.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed HOTU | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed HOTU | 27c | 129.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed HOTU | 39c | 129.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed HOTU | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…805cbacked HOTU | 9c | 125.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed HOTU | 38c | 121.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 31c | 121.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed HOTU | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…290cbacked TDK | 64c | 118.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 68c | 117.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed HOTU | 31c | 116$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed HOTU | 35c | 113.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed HOTU | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed HOTU | 37c | 107.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.