TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof HOTU, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked HOTU35c4,306$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.1975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed TDK65c4,213$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.64264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK60c3,622$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.935,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed TDK62c3,189$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.9415264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…edc7backed HOTU38c3,091$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK73c2,758$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.8963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed HOTU40c2,511$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.2919543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed TDK64c2,333$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.976752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TDK60c2,007$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.642,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed HOTU39c1,845$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.357138%27 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4036…0dd9backed HOTU36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed HOTU39c1,500$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed TDK56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.1566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU43c1,283$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK67c1,213$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.326,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TDK61c1,153$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.814,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked HOTU38c1,032$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.342133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked HOTU44c890.78$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0494645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked HOTU39c761.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed HOTU40c705.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5821351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK59c705.84$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.25,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f9…d198backed HOTU32c655.79$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.213234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed HOTU38c559.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.398143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TDK63c535.6$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.61,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked HOTU40c527.72$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.258855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed TDK61c512.22$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked HOTU39c511.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed TDK60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed HOTU40c496.35$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5420946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TDK61c466.6$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.882,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU34c443.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018750.8%95 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed TDK63c428.24$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8310551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed TDK64c407.81$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.819842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed HOTU44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17626650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed TDK60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed TDK65c376.88$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8811155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed HOTU40c368.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK74c345$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.232,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU35c328$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.191,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked TDK61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8722751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked TDK64c326.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.576755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed HOTU37c325.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3880942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed TDK63c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.49141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked HOTU37c318.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11811661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed HOTU52c316.7$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1666040%24 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed TDK64c309.23$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3220059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked TDK71c307.64$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5539772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed HOTU40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed TDK63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11160848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU24c298.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.493,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e1…c0c0backed HOTU37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed HOTU37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.938052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed HOTU39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TDK60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9258343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189c…bd67backed TDK66c213.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked HOTU38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TDK72c204.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.522,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked HOTU36c201.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.246447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed HOTU40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b9…8359backed HOTU45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU30c198.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked TDK65c196.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5233060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed HOTU37c192.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK47c191.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.62,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU22c189.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HOTU38c184.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.871,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked TDK57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.419147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed HOTU56c179.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed TDK62c178.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed TDK68c175.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.515044%22 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb85…f0a4backed HOTU38c174.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed HOTU51c171.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TDK69c160.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.235,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked TDK78c156.51$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked TDK65c149.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.345450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed TDK61c147.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7234750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked TDK71c145.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.621,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked TDK63c145.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6920944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0a…e207backed TDK62c141.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.435442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed HOTU37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.845645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed HOTU37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed HOTU17c135$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5332139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed HOTU39c130.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed TDK63c130.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.818344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed HOTU39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed HOTU27c129.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2510232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed HOTU39c129.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.983237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed HOTU43c126$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1813840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9a…805cbacked HOTU9c125.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed HOTU38c121.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.335747.4%27 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU31c121.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.354,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed HOTU35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.49045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x888d…290cbacked TDK64c118.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TDK68c117.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.274,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed HOTU31c116$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed HOTU35c113.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed HOTU37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed HOTU37c107.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.575747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.