TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa07c…edc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+58.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.18
Asuncion 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Gustavo Almeidabacked Joaquin Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$2,255.47
Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$871.71
Asuncion 2: Samuel Heredia vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Samuel Heredia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coriabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+71%+$417.2
Asuncion 2: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matias Sotobacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Brescia: Carole Monnet vs Martina Trevisanbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$99.94
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$658
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$691.48
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$203.08
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,136.07
Dublin: Bernard Tomic vs Conor Gannonbacked Conor Gannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+482.4%+$2,056.05
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$374.25
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublikbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$629.93
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$473.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.